Tuesday, 10 May 2011

What is the probability ?

The definition of probability is : Let S be a finite sample space such that all the outcomes are equally likely to occur. The probability of an event E, which is a subset of S, is P(E) = (the number of outcomes in E)/ (the number of total outcomes in S) P(E) = n (E) / n ( S ) This definition is due to ‘Laplace.’ Thus probability is a concept which measures numerically the degree of certainty or uncertainty of the occurrence of an event. Explaination The basic steps of probability that u have to remember are as under 1. First list out all possible out comes. That is called the sample space S For example when we roll a die the all possible outcomes are the set S i.e. S = {1,2,3,4,5,6} 2. Secondly we have to find out all that possible outcomes, in which the probability is required . For example we are asked to find the probability of even numbers. First we decide any name of that event i.e E Now we check all the even numbers in S which are E = {2,4,6} Remember Event is always a sub-set of Sample space S. 3. Now we apply the definition of probability P(E) = (the number of outcomes in E)/ (the number of total outcomes in S) P(E) = n (E) / n ( S ) So from above two steps we have n (E) = 3 and n (S) = 6 then P(E) = 3 / 6 = 1/2 which is probability of an even number.

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